Bitcoin Analysis as BTC Approaches Critical $66K Level – Will It Trigger a Major Upward Surge? 

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

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Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis…

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Last updated:

September 27, 2024 11:46 EDT

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Bitcoin is extending its upward rally, surpassing the $66,000 mark on Friday and reaching an intra-day high of $66,200. The surge coincides with the global crypto market cap climbing to $2.29 trillion, reflecting a 24-hour gain of around 2%.

This recent spike is fueled by optimism surrounding the U.S. economy’s potential for a ‘soft landing’ on inflation, bolstered by favorable macroeconomic data. Renewed interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs and rising institutional buying, driven by China’s and the U.S.

Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, is further propelling Bitcoin’s momentum and pushing it to a two-month high. All eyes are now on BTC’s next move.

US Inflation Data Supports Crypto Market Growth

The latest U.S. inflation data has fueled optimism in the crypto market. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index showed an annual rate of 2.2%, slightly below the expected 2.3% and down from 2.5% last month, signaling easing inflation pressures.

The Core PCE Price Index, excluding food and energy, held steady at 2.7%. These numbers suggest the Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation are paying off.

As a result, Bitcoin climbed to $66,200, and Ethereum rose above $2,660, reflecting renewed investor confidence. Continued declines in inflation could prompt the Fed to maintain or even accelerate rate cuts, supporting further crypto gains.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Amid $66K Price Spike and Fed Rate Cut

Bitcoin’s recent climb above $66,000 has triggered significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, with $365.6 million added on September 26 alone — the largest since July. This increase marks six consecutive days of inflows, highlighting growing institutional interest in Bitcoin.

ARK 21Shares’ ARKB ETF led the charge, securing $113.8 million, followed by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) with $93.4 million.

Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and Bitwise’s BITB also saw robust inflows of $74 million and $50.4 million, respectively.

However, Grayscale’s GBTC, which recently converted to a spot ETF, saw an outflow of $7.7 million.

Since their inception, these ETFs have attracted $18.3 billion, driven by Bitcoin’s rally and the Fed’s recent rate cuts, which have boosted investor confidence in crypto-linked funds.

$7.7 Billion Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiry Sparks Market Volatility

The crypto market is bracing for heightened volatility as over $7.7 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire today. Early trading saw increased price fluctuations, particularly during the Indian market hours.

Bitcoin’s open interest stands at 89,005 options, with more than 60% being call options. The total notional value of these Bitcoin options is $5.82 billion, with a max pain price of $59,000, indicating potential price swings during U.S. trading hours.

Similarly, Ethereum faces a $1.91 billion options expiry, with 716,917 open contracts and a max pain price of $2,550.

The combined expiries could trigger significant market movement as traders reposition to manage losses and gains following the recent surge in Bitcoin prices past $65,000.

Daily Technical Outlook: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – September 27, 2024

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at $66,285, maintaining a bullish trend within an ascending channel pattern. The cryptocurrency has broken above the key pivot point of $65,680, indicating sustained upward momentum.

Immediate resistance is observed at $66,539, followed by $67,152 and $67,564. If Bitcoin continues to gain, these levels could be tested.

Conversely, support is set at $65,680, with lower levels at $64,747 and $64,265 providing strong backing.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70.95, signaling that Bitcoin is entering overbought territory, which could prompt short-term profit-taking.

The 50-day EMA at $64,265 serves as a crucial support level, supporting the ongoing bullish outlook.

Key Insights:

• Immediate Resistance: $66,539 – A break above could lead to further gains.
• Support: $65,680 – Holding above this level is key for continued bullish momentum.
• Overbought RSI: 70.95 suggests potential for short-term consolidation.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s technical indicators hint at a positive outlook, but overbought conditions could trigger minor corrections before another rally.

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